Systematic Market Intelligence

The PredictionMarket Index

Buy $P500. Get exposure to every narrative before it breaks. Our protocol scans prediction markets, launches sub-tokens autonomously, and burns fees back into $P500.

0
Tokens Launched
Solana
Network
Live
Status
Why Now

Prediction markets are the highest-fidelity signal layer for real-world events.

Prediction markets aggregate dispersed information into probability-weighted prices with demonstrated superiority over polling, expert forecasts, and sentiment analysis. Academic literature consistently shows prediction market prices outperform alternative forecasting methodologies by 15-30% in accuracy across political, economic, and cultural domains.

This information asymmetry creates a structural opportunity: narratives that achieve critical mass in prediction markets consistently precede mainstream attention by days to weeks. Early positioning in these narratives has historically generated substantial alpha.

P500 systematically identifies, indexes, and monetizes this lead time—transforming prediction market intelligence from an institutional data advantage into an accessible, yield-generating asset.

"Prediction markets don't predict the future. They aggregate what informed participants already know—before the rest of the market prices it in."

Narrative Index

Introducing P500

A systematic index of prediction market intelligence. Diversified exposure to emerging narratives with autonomous fee generation.

StatusLive
StructureFee Aggregator
NetworkSolana
CTO Bounties
New Program

Take over a narrative coin.
Get paid to build it.

CTO Bounties lets community members claim ownership of a P500 narrative token. Build the community, grow the narrative, and earn rewards for your work.

Upfront Bounty0.5 SOL
Fee Redirect100% to CTO
StatusWaitlist Open
DM us on X to join the waitlist

System Protocol

STATUS: ACTIVE
PROTOCOL: SOLANA
value_loop.sh
READ_ONLY
01Scan

Identify

> MONITOR_PREDICTION_MARKETS

> DETECT_EMERGING_NARRATIVES

> VALIDATE_MOMENTUM_THRESHOLD

02Launch

Deploy_Subtoken

> MINT_NARRATIVE_TOKEN

> INITIALIZE_LIQUIDITY

> OPEN_PUBLIC_TRADING

03Capture

Accrue_Fees

> COLLECT_TRADING_FEES

> AGGREGATE_TO_TREASURY

> ACCUMULATE_PROTOCOL_REVENUE

04Return

Buyback_P500

> EXECUTE_MARKET_BUYBACK

> INCREASE_P500_DEMAND

> DISTRIBUTE_TO_HOLDERS

Market Context

Institutional Capital is Repricing Prediction Market Infrastructure

Prediction markets have transitioned from speculative novelty to institutional priority. Polymarket surpassed $3.2 billion in cumulative volume in 2024, representing a 1,400% increase year-over-year.

The underlying driver is clear: prediction market data offers alpha generation potential that traditional alternative data sources increasingly cannot. Institutions are paying eight-figure sums annually for privileged access to this intelligence layer.

P500 democratizes this access. The same signal extraction that informs institutional trading desks, structured as a liquid, yield-bearing token available to any participant.

$3.2B
2024 Polymarket Volume
+1,400% YoY
$50M+
Institutional Data Spend
Annual market
85%
Prediction vs Polling Accuracy
vs 65% polls
7+ days
Avg Narrative Lead Time
Before mainstream
Launched Tokens

Narrative Tokens

Tokens deployed by the P500 protocol, each representing an emerging narrative detected from prediction markets.

No tokens launched yet. Check back soon.

Transparency

Protocol Transparency

All token flows are on-chain and verifiable. No pooled custody. No discretionary allocation.

  • Permissionless

    Subtokens trade on public AMMs. No whitelisting. No gated access.

  • Verifiable Flows

    All buybacks and treasury movements logged on-chain via Solana block explorers.

  • Autonomous Execution

    Fee collection and buyback execution require no manual intervention.

Live Monitor
CONNECTED
P500 Supply RemovedXX.X%
Cumulative Buybacks$XXX,XXX
Subtokens Deployed0
Treasury Balance$X.XM

Subtoken Fee Standard

Every narrative token launched by the protocol follows an identical fee structure. 100% of trading fees route to P500.

P500 Buyback & Burn100%

> Initializing fee router...

> Connection established

> Monitoring subtoken trades...

> Buyback aggregation active_

Acquire

How to Acquire $P500

P500 is available on Solana via bags.fm. Three steps to participate.

01
01

Fund Wallet

Acquire SOL from any major exchange (Coinbase, Kraken, Binance). Transfer to a Solana-compatible wallet (Phantom, Solflare).

02
02

Connect to Bags.fm

Navigate to bags.fm. Connect your wallet using the prompt in the top right corner. Approve the connection request.

03
03

Swap for $P500

Search for P500 or paste the contract address. Enter your desired SOL amount. Confirm the transaction in your wallet.

Go to Bags.fm
FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What chain is P500 on?
P500 and all subtokens are deployed on Solana, launched in partnership with bags.fm. We selected Solana for transaction speed, low fees, and deep AMM liquidity infrastructure.
How do I receive dividends?
Dividends are distributed pro-rata to P500 holders automatically. Tokens must be held in a non-custodial wallet (not on an exchange) to be eligible. Distribution frequency and mechanics will be announced via official channels.
Who controls the narrative detection AI?
The detection algorithm runs autonomously based on predefined momentum thresholds. No manual intervention is required for token deployment. Protocol parameters are controlled by the core team during this phase, with decentralized governance planned for future iterations.
What happens if a subtoken goes to zero?
Subtoken performance does not affect P500 principal. P500 benefits from trading fees generated during active trading—not from subtoken price appreciation. A subtoken can decline to zero while still having generated substantial fees during its active period.
Is P500 a security?
P500 is a utility token that provides exposure to protocol fee generation. We do not provide legal, tax, or investment advice. Participants should consult qualified professionals and review the legal disclosures before acquiring P500.
How are narratives selected?
The protocol monitors prediction markets for specific signals: abnormal volume acceleration, liquidity depth changes, and probability momentum. When a narrative crosses predefined thresholds, deployment is triggered automatically. The system does not exercise editorial judgment.
Can I sell P500 at any time?
Yes. P500 is liquid on Solana AMMs 24/7. There is no lockup period for public float tokens. Liquidity depth varies based on market conditions.
Risk Factors

Risk Considerations

P500 involves substantial risk and is suitable only for participants who can bear the loss of their entire allocation. Key risks include:

  • 1Smart contract vulnerability or exploit
  • 2Prediction market regulatory developments affecting data access
  • 3Liquidity constraints during high-volatility periods
  • 4Concentration risk in narrative token deployments
  • 5Dependence on third-party infrastructure (Polymarket, Solana, bags.fm)
  • 6No guarantee of dividend distributions or buyback execution
  • 7Token price volatility independent of protocol performance

Past performance of narrative tokens does not guarantee future results. This is not investment advice. Participants should conduct independent due diligence and consult qualified legal and financial advisors before acquiring P500.

Access the Prediction Market Alpha Layer

Systematic. Diversified. Yield-generating.